Update (8:30 p.m.) Eyes were on Pennsylvania, specifically the Lehigh Valley, Tuesday night as federal government positions were up for grabs in the 2022 midterm elections.
Pennsylvania proved to bleed blue, with the state’s governor seat, open U.S. Senate and the contested 7th District House seat all going to Democrats.
The Brown and White aggregated and averaged all polling result data from six nationwide news sources: Associated Press, National Public Radio, The New York Times, Fox News, CNN and MSNBC.
These updated results are based on percentages from the aforementioned organizations as of 8:30 p.m. on Nov. 9.
Governor-elect Josh Shapiro surpassed Doug Mastriano by 13.6 points, Senator-elect John Fetterman defeated Mehmet Oz by 3.6 points and House Representative-elect Susan Wild narrowly beat Lisa Scheller by 1.6 points.
The Brown and White analyzed the above sources and calculated that Republicans currently have more representatives elected to the House of Representatives and the Senate. However, many determinant races are either too close or too early to call, which may lead to run-off elections next month.
Based on The Brown and White’s averages, 186 Democrats and 207 Republicans have been elected. If a party gains 218 seats, they gain party control of the House. Based on the elections called, Republicans would need to gain 11 seats to take party control and Democrats would need 32 more seats to maintain the control they previously had.
The current Senate split is 47 Democrats and 49 Republicans elected. If a party gains 51 seats, they gain party control of the Senate. Based on elections called, Republicans would need to gain 2 seats to maintain party control and Democrats would need to gain 4 seats to flip party control in the Senate.
Stay tuned for an analysis of the 2022 midterm election results for Pennsylvania and the country as a whole.
(1:18 a.m.) John Fetterman (D) will replace retired Sen. Pat Toomey (R) in the U.S. Senate, representing Pennsylvania. He narrowly defeated Mehmet Oz (R) with a 1.4-point lead.
“We bet on the people of Pennsylvania, and you didn’t let us down,” Fetterman said in his victory speech.
(1:05 a.m.) Within the first hour after election day, some local and statewide midterm races are still too close to call.
Local county- and state-level election results have historically pointed to national results, meaning many eyes are on Pennsylvania and the Lehigh Valley, specifically.
Numerous organizations have called the governor race for Josh Shapiro (D), defeating Doug Mastriano (R). Many have also projected John Fetterman (D) will narrowly beat Mehmet Oz (R) for the Senate seat left open by Pat Toomey (R).
The Brown and White aggregated and averaged polling result data from six nationwide news sources: Associated Press, National Public Radio, The New York Times, Fox News, CNN and MSNBC.
The following results are based on percentages from these organizations as of 12:30 a.m. on Nov. 9.
Josh Shapiro (D): 54.6%
Doug Mastriano (R): 43.6%
Shapiro defeated Mastriano with an 11-point lead.
John Fetterman (D): 49.2%
Mehmet Oz (R): 48.4%
Fetterman has a 0.8-point lead over Oz.
House Representative (District 7) Race
Susan Wild (D): 50.3%
Lisa Scheller (R): 49.8%
Wild has a 0.5-point lead over Scheller.
Republicans currently have more representatives elected to the House of Representatives, and party control of the Senate is understood to be generally even at this time.
The Brown and White will be keeping up to date with election results and will update this page and social media frequently.